UFC 281 Poirier vs. Chandler Picks & Predictions: From Real Pros
Опубликовано: 10-11-2022, 15:17, , 680, 0
Dustin Poirier is a significant favorite over Michael Chandler despite a relatively long hiatus following his loss to Charles Oliveira in 2021. Our stakes determine if Poirier really has the edge.
Dustin Poirier vs. Michael Chandler is scheduled for three rounds at lightweight as the main attraction of UFC 281 at New York's legendary Madison Square Garden.
Poirier and Chandler are aiming to be shortlisted for a title fight, and fans are salivating over what could potentially be the fight of the year.
Bets expect Poirier to be the -2.10 favorite. The always explosive Chandler is catching up as an underdog at +1.80 UFC.
Here are our picks and predictions for Poirier vs. Chandler at UFC 281.
Poirier method vs. Chandler odds of winning
| Method of victory | Dustin Poirier | Michael Chandler |
|---|---|---|
| Win by knockout/technical knockout | +1.35 | +3.80 |
| Win by points | +3.90 | +7.00 |
| Submission victory | +7.50 | +11.00 |
| Draw | +50.00 | +50.00 |
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Poirier vs. Chandler betting preview
Violence and chaos are the real deal for this fight, which sees two of the best attacking fighters in the lightweight division face off against each other. Poirier has been a mainstay of the division's elite and his only losses in the past five years have come in title fights. Chandler is an established fighter but needs to prove he can win a high-profile fight in the UFC after going 2-2 since joining the promotion in 2021.Poirier got the lead to take the title from Charles Oliveira back at UFC 269, but couldn't match Oliveira's grappling and was choked out in the third fight. It looks like it will be a brighter matchup, giving the versatile Lifeatt native a chance to get back in contention for the title. There is no doubt that Poirier is one of the most accomplished fighters in the lightweight division and has a path to victory on the punch and on the mat.
"The Diamond" terrorized all but the very best in the lightweight division with his superb punches as he landed 5.61 significant punches per minute with 50% accuracy and landed 1.44 takedowns in 15 minutes with 36% accuracy. Entering this fight, he will have a one inch advantage in both height and arm span and is one of the cleanest fighters in the UFC.
Covers UFC 281 betting analysis
The brutal Chandler completes a knockout of Tony Ferguson at UFC 274, where he kicked Ferguson's soul out of his body and landed in the ranks of the press. Chandler always throws with bad intentions and is incredibly resilient, even when he is defeated. There is no safe time to fight him, as he is always dangerous and can deliver a devastating blow at any time.Iron Mike has 5.17 significant strikes per minute at 46% accuracy and 1.83 takedowns per 15 minutes at 36% accuracy. The ex-Bellator champion has an average fight time of 7:16, and since 2019, every win has been a knockout.
There is little room for imagination here. These two will do their best to kill each other as professionally as possible. Poirier's great combat experience really trumps Chandler here, but there's not a single moment in this fight where Chandler can land a single punch to turn off the lights. It's an exciting battle on a map full of them.
Poirier vs. Chandler: The Story of the Tape
| Dustin Poirier | Michael Chandler | |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Age | 36 |
| 5 feet 9 | Height | 5 feet 8 |
| 154.5 lbs | Weight | 156 pounds |
| 72 inches | Achieve | 71.5 inches |
| 28-7-0 (1 NC, 14 KOs) | Write down | 23-7-0 (11 KOs) |
Poirier vs Chandler UFC prediction and best bet
Our prediction is based on the analysis of the fighters and indicates who we are leaning towards to win this fight.Our best bet is the game we like the most in this fight, or the one that has the most value and that we would bet some of our bankroll on.
Prediction: Poirier ML (-2.10)
While Chandler looked phenomenal against Ferguson and Dan Hooker, there were some glaring issues in the losses he took to Oliveira and Justin Gaethje. He takes a lot of hits, but his style and defensive deficiencies have left him exhausted after a furious start.Poirier got his way with punches, including a relatively easy win over Gaethje, with his defense good enough to avoid Chandler's worst shots. Again, this is where a lot of combat experience comes into play. Chandler beat the guys he was supposed to beat and clearly lost to the guys he should have been tough to beat. So it's no surprise that he's now a clear underdog against a fighter who shows his best when faced with this particular style.
As much fun as watching Chandler is, this game has levels. Apart from Oliveira and new champion Islam Makhachev, Poirier has been a division class for some time now. Expect Poirier to shine like a diamond and turn down a motivated Chandler's challenge.
